Gold growth value (from 4256)
0% (already accounted for)
Strategy of buying gold ETFs
Total return over 12 months
Total return over 12 months
strategy automatically goes longer via options (i.e., positive leverage between 100% . and 150%), less decay earned. Objective in this scenario would be to outperform by 20% (e.g., +10% vs +12%). A catalyst for this would be a suddenly more dovish FED, maybe driven by a different methodology for measuring inflation. This would be very premature (we expect such methodologies to arrive only after the September FED meeting at the earliest) so we expect this to be a
Our strategy in range market
Gold growth value (from 4256)
0% (already accounted for)
Strategy of buying gold ETFs
Total return over 12 months
Total return over 12 months
we keep the current positioning, long underweight benchmark at 50% and short volatility / earning decay. Market moving +/- 4%within this range, we expect to outperform by 2% -6%. We expect this to be the most likely scenario (if no unforeseen geopolitical disruptions arise).
Our strategy in down trending market
Gold growth value (from 4015)
0% (already accounted for)
Strategy of buying gold ETFs
Total return over 12 months
Total return over 12 months
longer term bear move we would actively change to go short underlying (i.e., negative leverage between 0 and -100%). Market would perform negative, we expect to be flat/positive (e.g., -5% vs 0/+2.5%). A catalyst for this would be the restart of the conflict in Middle East with disruption to Energy assets and closure of the strait of Hormuz. We expect this to be a medium/low probability scenario.